Publications

Roxy, M.K., Saranya, J.S., Modi, A., Anusree, A., Cai, W., Resplandy, L., Vialard, J., & Frölicher, T.L. (2024). Chapter 20: Future projections for the tropical Indian Ocean. In Ummenhofer, C.C., & Hood, R.R. (Eds.), The Indian Ocean and its role in the global climate system. Elsevier. doi: 10.1016/B978-0-12-822698-8.00004-4 [link].

Sprintall, J., Nagura, M., Hermes, J., Roxy, M. K., McPhaden, M. J., Rao, E. P. R., Tummala, S. K., Thurston, S., Li, J., Belbeoch, M., & Turpin, V. (2024). COVID Impacts Cause Critical Gaps in the Indian Ocean Observing System. Bulletin of the American Meteorological Society. [link]

Dasgupta, P., Nam,S., Saranya, J. S., and Roxy, M.K. (2024). Marine Heatwaves in the East Asian Marginal Seas Facilitated by Boreal Summer Intraseasonal Oscillations. Journal of Geophysical Research: Oceans, 129, e2023JC020602. [link]

Fahad, A.A., Hasan, M., Sharmili, N., Islam, S., Swenson, E.T. and Roxy, M.K. (2024), Climate Change Quadruples Flood Causing Extreme Monsoon Rainfall Events in Bangladesh and Northeast India. Q J R Meteorol Soc. [link]

Chauhan, T., Devanand, A., Roxy, M. K., Ashok, K., & Ghosh, S. (2023). River interlinking alters land-atmosphere feedback and changes the Indian summer monsoon. Nature Communications, 14(1), 5928 [link].

Athira K. S., Roxy M. K., Dasgupta P., Saranya J. S., Singh V. K., and Attada R. (2023). Regional and temporal variability of Indian summer monsoon rainfall in relation to El Niño southern oscillation. Scientific Reports, 13(1), 12643 [link].

Modi, A. and Roxy, M.K., 2023. Past Trends and Future Projections of Marine Primary Productivity in the Tropical Indian Ocean. In Dynamics of Planktonic Primary Productivity in the Indian Ocean (pp. 191-206). Cham: Springer International Publishing [link] [pdf].

Dalpadado, P., Roxy, M.K., Arrigo, K.R., van Dijken, G.L., Chierici, M., Ostrowski, M., Skern-Mauritzen, R., Bakke, G., Richardson, A.J. and Sperfeld, E., 2023. Rapid climate change alters the environment and biological production of the Indian Ocean. Science of The Total Environment, p.167342 [link].

Anwar F., De S., Durbarry A., Fozdar F., Hermes J., Khan H., Roxy M. K., Li X., Mickler D., Mohee R., Rammohan A., Robertson P., Roopchund O., Siddique K., Sooklal A., Sprintall J., Tandrayen-Ragoobur V., Techera E., Saggar S. (Ed.), Lin C. (ed.), Fisher M. (ed.) and Rey R. (Ed.) (2023). Indian Ocean Futures: Prospects for shared regional success. UWA Public Policy Institute, 80p, https://doi.org/10.26182/48ak-2y68 [link] [pdf]

Santoso A, Taschetto AS, McGregor S, Roxy M. K., Chung C, Wu B and Delage FP (2023) Editorial: Dynamics and impacts of tropical climate variability: Understanding trends and future projections. Front. Clim. 5:1148145. doi: 10.3389/fclim.2023.1148145 [link]

Modi A., Roxy M. K., Ghosh S., 2022, Gap-Filling of Ocean Color Over the Tropical Indian Ocean Using Monte-Carlo Method, Scientific Reports, 12, 18395 [link].

Singh V. K., Roxy M. K., and Deshpande, M. S., 2022, Role of subtropical Rossby waves in governing the track of cyclones in the Bay of Bengal, Q. J. R. Meteorol. Soc., doi: 10.1002/qj.4387 [link].

Hall, C. A., Illingworth, S., Mohadjer, S., Roxy, M. K., Poku, C., Otu-Larbi, F., Reano, D., Freilich, M., Veisaga, M.-L., Valencia, M., and Morales, J., 2022: GC Insights: Diversifying the Geosciences in Higher Education: a Manifesto for Change, Geosci. Commun., 5, 275–280 [pdf].

Fadnavis S, Roxy M. K., Griessbach S, Heinold B, Kaskaoutis DG and Gautam R, 2022, Editorial: Impact of the COVID19 lockdown on the atmosphere. Front. Environ. Sci. 10:1034007. doi: 10.3389/fenvs.2022.1034007 [link].

Jha, R., Mondal, A., Devanand, A., Roxy, M. K., Ghosh, S., 2022, Limited influence of irrigation on pre-monsoon heat stress in the Indo-Gangetic Plain. Nature Communications, 13, 4275. [link] [data].

Dimri, A. P., M. Roxy, A. Sharma, A. K. Pokharia, Ch R. Gayathri, J. Sanwal, Aka Sharma, S. K. Tandon, D. B. Pattanaik, and U. C. Mohanty, 2022, “Monsoon in history and present.” Journal of Palaeosciences 71, 1 (2022): 45-74 [link].

Shilimkar, V., Abe, H., Roxy, M. K., & Tanimoto, Y., 2022, Projected future changes in the contribution of Indo-Pacific sea surface height variability to the Indonesian throughflow. Journal of Oceanography, 1-16 [link].

Prakash, A., K. McGlade, M. K. Roxy, J. Roy, S. Some and N. Rao, 2022, Climate adaptation interventions in coastal areas: a rapid review of social and gendered dimensions, Frontiers in Climate, doi: 10.3389/fclim.2022.785212 [link].

Vineet Kumar Singh and M. K. Roxy, 2022, A review of ocean-atmosphere interactions during tropical cyclones in the north Indian Ocean, Earth-Science Reviews, 226, 103967, doi: 10.1016/j.earscirev.2022.103967 [pdf].

Saranya, J. S., M. K. Roxy, Panini Dasgupta, and Ajay Anand, 2022, Genesis and trends in marine heatwaves over the tropical Indian Ocean and their interaction with the Indian summer monsoon, Journal of Geophysical Research: Oceans, 127, e2021JC017427 [pdf].

Collins M, Ashok K, Barreiro M, Roxy MK, Kang SM, Frölicher TL, Wang G and Tedeschi RG (2021) Editorial: New Techniques for Improving Climate Models, Predictions and Projections. Frontiers in Climate, 3:811205. doi: 10.3389/fclim.2021.811205 [link].

Dhavale, S., Milind Mujumdar, M.K. Roxy, Vineet Kumar Singh, 2021, Tropical Cyclones over the Arabian Sea during the monsoon onset phase, International Journal of Climatology, doi: 10.1002/joc.7403 [link].

Deshpande, M., V. K. Singh, Ganadhi M. Kranthi, M. K. Roxy, R. Emmanuel, & U. Kumar, 2021, Changing status of tropical cyclones over the north Indian Ocean, Climate Dynamics, 1-23 [pdf].

Panini Dasgupta, M. K. Roxy, Rajib Chattopadhyay, C.V. Naidu, Abirlal Metya, 2021, Interannual variability of the occurrence of MJO at different phases and its association with two ENSO modes, Scientific Reports, 11, 11541, doi: 10.1038/s41598-021-91060-2 [pdf].

The Second World Ocean Assessment: Garcia-Soto, C., D. Breitburg, M. Campillos, P. Castillo-Briceno, S. Chiba, M. Collins, G. Esnaola, K. Evans, L. B. Firth, T. Frölicher, J. M. Hall-Spencer, D. Halpern, K . L. Hunter, G. Ibarra, S-Y. Kim, M. K. Roxy, K. McInnes, J. Saenz, C. T. Vu, B. Ward and T. Zielinski, 2021, Chapter 9, Pressures from Changes in Climate and Atmosphere. The Second World Ocean Assessment, Volume 2, United Nations [vol1] [vol2] [chapter9].

Pottapinjara, V., M. K. Roxy, M.S. Girishkumar, et al. Simulation of interannual relationship between the Atlantic zonal mode and Indian summer monsoon in CFSv2. Clim Dyn (2021). doi: 10.1007/s00382-021-05712-0 [pdf].

Vineet Kumar Singh, M. K. Roxy, and Medha Deshpande, 2021, Role of warm ocean conditions and the MJO in the genesis and intensification of extremely severe cyclone Fani. Scientific Reports, 11, 3607, doi: 10.1038/s41598-021-82680-9 [pdf].

Beal, L. M., J. Vialard, M. K. Roxy and Coauthors, 2020, A roadmap to IndOOS-2: Better observations of the rapidly-warming Indian Ocean. Bull. Amer. Meteor. Soc., 101 (11): E1891–E1913, doi: 10.1175/BAMS-D-19-0209.1 [pdf].

Panini Dasgupta, Abirlal Metya, C.V. Naidu, Manmeet Singh and M. K. Roxy, 2020. Exploring the long‑term changes in the Madden Julian Oscillation using machine learning. Scientific Reports, 10, 18567, doi: 10.1038/s41598-020-75508-5 [pdf].

Collins, M., M. Barreiro, T. Frölicher, S. Kang, A. Karumuri, M.K. Roxy, D. Singh, R.G. Tedeschi, G. Wang, L. Wilcox, and B. Wu, 2020. Frontiers in climate predictions and projections. Frontiers in Climate, 2:571245, doi: 10.3389/fclim.2020.571245 [link].

Vineet Kumar Singh, M.K. Roxy and Medha Deshpande, 2020: The unusual long track and rapid intensification of very severe cyclone Ockhi. Current Science, 119, 5, 771-779 [pdf].

Roxy M. K., C. Gnanaseelan, A. Parekh, J. S. Chowdary, S. Singh, A. Modi, R. Kakatkar, S. Mohapatra, C. Dhara, S. C. Shenoi, M. Rajeevan, 2020, Indian Ocean warming, in Krishnan et al. (eds.), Assessment of Climate Change over the Indian Region, Springer, Singapore, doi: 10.1007/978-981-15-4327-2_10 [pdf].

Wang, B., M. Biasutti, M.P. Byrne, C. Castro, C. Chang, K. Cook, R. Fu, A.M. Grimm, K. Ha, H. Hendon, A. Kitoh, R. Krishnan, J. Lee, J. Li, J. Liu, A. Moise, S. Pascale, M.K. Roxy, A. Seth, C. Sui, A. Turner, S. Yang, K. Yun, L. Zhang, and T. Zhou, 2020, Monsoons Climate Change Assessment. Bull. Amer. Meteor. Soc., doi: 10.1175/BAMS-D-19-0335.1 [pdf].

Roxy M. K., Panini Dasgupta, Michael J. McPhaden, Tamaki Suematsu, Chidong Zhang and Daehyun Kim, 2019, Twofold expansion of the Indo-Pacific warm pool warps the MJO lifecycle, Nature, 575, 647–651. doi: 10.1038/s41586-019-1764-4 [link] [pdf].

IPCC SROCC: Collins M., M. Sutherland, L. Bouwer, S.-M. Cheong, T. Frölicher, H. Jacot Des Combes, M. K. Roxy, I. Losada, K. McInnes, B. Ratter, E. Rivera-Arriga, R. D. Susanto, D. Swingedouw, L. Tibig, 2019, Extremes, Abrupt Changes and Managing Risks, in Portner et al., eds. IPCC Special Report on Oceans and Cryosphere in a Changing Climate. Cambridge University Press, Cambridge, UK and New York, NY, USA, pp. 589–655. https://doi.org/10.1017/9781009157964.008 [pdf].

Beal L. M., J. Vialard, M. K. Roxy and lead authors, 2019: IndOOS-2: A roadmap to sustained observations of the Indian Ocean for 2020-2030, CLIVAR-4/2019, GOOS-237, 206 pp. doi: 10.36071/clivar.rp.4.2019 [pdf]

Beal, L. M., J. Vialard, M. K. Roxy and lead authors, 2019: Executive Summary. IndOOS-2: A roadmap to sustained observations of the Indian Ocean for 2020-2030. CLIVAR-4/2019, GOOS-237, I-VIII pp. doi: 10.36071/clivar.rp.4-1.2019 [pdf].

Hermes J. C., Y. Masumoto, L. M. Beal, M. K. Roxy, J. Vialard and co-authors, 2019: A sustained ocean observing system in the Indian Ocean for climate related scientific knowledge and societal needs, Frontiers in Marine Science, 6:355, doi: 10.3389/fmars.2019.00355 [pdf].

Stammer D., A. Bracco, K. AchutaRao, L. Beal, M. K. Roxy and co-authors, 2019: Ocean climate observing requirements in support of Climate Research and Climate Information, Frontiers in Marine Science, 6:444, doi: 10.3389/fmars.2019.00444 [pdf].

Singh D., S. Ghosh, M. K. Roxy and S. McDermid, 2019: Indian summer monsoon: Extreme events, historical changes, and role of anthropogenic forcings. WIREs Clim Change. 2019;10:e571, doi:10.1002/wcc.571 [pdf].

Yadav R. K. and M. K. Roxy, 2019: On the relationship between north India summer monsoon rainfall and east equatorial Indian Ocean warming. Global & Planetary Change 179, 23-32, doi:10.1016/j.gloplacha.2019.05.001 [pdf].

Roxy M. K. and S. T. Chaithra, 2018: Impacts of Climate Change on the Indian Summer Monsoon. Climate Change and Water Resources in India, Vimal Mishra, and J. R. Bhatt, Eds., Ministry of Environment Forest and Climate Change, 21-37, ISBN: 978-81-933131-6-9 [pdf].

Sahana A. S., A. Pathak, M. K. Roxy and Subimal Ghosh, 2019: Understanding the role of moisture transport on the dry bias in Indian monsoon simulations by CFSv2. Climate Dynamics, 52(1-2), 637-651, doi:10.1007/s00382-018-4154-y [pdf].

Devanand A., M. K. Roxy and S. Ghosh, 2018: Coupled Land-Atmosphere Regional Model reduces Dry Bias in Indian Summer Monsoon Rainfall simulated by CFSv2. Geophys. Res. Lett., doi:10.1002/2018GL077218 [pdf].

Roxy M. K., S. Ghosh, A. Pathak, R. Athulya, M. Mujumdar, R. Murtugudde, P. Terray and M. Rajeevan, 2017: A threefold rise in widespread extreme rain events over central India. Nature Communications, 8, 1, 708, doi:10.1038/s41467-017-00744-9 [pdf] [link] [research highlight in Nature Climate Change].

Roxy M. K., 2017: Land warming revives monsoon. Nature Climate Change, 7, 8, 549–550, doi:10.1038/nclimate3356 [pdf] [link].

Gnanaseelan C., M. K. Roxy, and A. Deshpande, 2017: Variability and Trends of Sea Surface Temperature and Circulation in the Indian Ocean. Observed Climate Variability and Change over the Indian Region, M. N. Rajeevan, and S. Nayak, Eds., Springer Geology, 165-179, doi:10.1007/978-981-10-2531-0_10 [pdf] [book].

Crétat J., P. Terray, S. Masson, K. P. Sooraj, M. K. Roxy, 2016: Indian Ocean and Indian summer monsoon: relationships without ENSO in ocean-atmosphere coupled simulations. Climate Dynamics, doi:10.1007/s00382-016-3387-x [pdf].

Chowdary J. S., A. Parekh, G. Srinivas, C. Gnanaseelan, T. S. Fousiya, R. Khandekar and M. K. Roxy, 2016: Processes associated with the tropical Indian Ocean subsurface temperature bias in a coupled model. Journal of Physical Oceanography, 46, 2863–2875, doi:10.1175/JPO-D-15-0245.1 [pdf].

Roxy M. K., A. Modi, R. Murtugudde, V. Valsala, S. Panickal, S. Prasanna Kumar, M. Ravichandran, M. Vichi and M. Levy, 2016: A reduction in marine primary productivity driven by rapid warming over the tropical Indian Ocean. Geophys. Res. Lett., 43, 826-833, doi:10.1002/2015gl066979 [pdf] [supplement].

Chowdary J. S., A. Parekh, R. Kakatkar, C. Gnanaseelan, G. Srinivas, P. Singh, M. K. Roxy, 2015: Tropical Indian Ocean response to the decay phase of El Niño in a coupled model and associated changes in south and east-Asian summer monsoon circulation and rainfall. Climate Dynamics, doi:10.1007/s00382-015-2874-9 [pdf].

Terray P., S. Masson, C. Prodhomme, M. K. Roxy, K. P. Sooraj, 2015: Impacts of Indian and Atlantic oceans on ENSO in a comprehensive modeling framework. Climate Dynamics, 46, 7, 2507-2533 [pdf].

Roxy M. K., K. Ritika, P. Terray, S. Masson, 2015: Indian Ocean warming—the bigger picture. Bull. Amer. Meteor. Soc., 96, 7, 1070-1071 [pdf].

Roxy M. K., K. Ritika, P. Terray, R. Murtugudde, K. Ashok and B. N. Goswami, 2015: Drying of Indian subcontinent by rapid Indian Ocean warming and a weakening land-sea thermal gradient. Nature Communications, 6:7423, doi:10.1038/ncomms8423 [pdf] [supplement].

Swapna P., M. K. Roxy, A. Krishnamurti, K. Kulkarni, A.G.P. Prajeesh, K. Ashok, R. Krishnan, S. Moorthi, A. Kumar and B. N. Goswami, 2015: The IITM Earth System Model: Transformation of a Seasonal Prediction Model to a Long Term Climate Model. Bull. Amer. Meteor. Soc., 96, 1351–1367, doi:10.1175/BAMS-D-13-00276.1 [pdf]

Roxy M. K., K. Ritika, P. Terray, S. Masson, 2014: The curious case of Indian Ocean warming. J.Climate, 27, 22, 8501-8509 [pdf]

Valsala V., M. K. Roxy, P. A. Pillai and R. Murtugudde, 2014: Spatiotemporal characteristics of seasonal to multidecadal variability of pCO2 and air-sea CO2 fluxes in the equatorial Pacific Ocean. JGR-Oceans, 119, doi:10.1002/2014JC010212 [pdf]

Valsala V., M. K. Roxy, P.A. Pillai, 2014: Commonality in the intraseasonal oscillations of the Indian Summer Monsoon Rainfall. JGR, Submitted.

Roxy M., 2013: Sensitivity of precipitation to sea surface temperature over the tropical summer monsoon region—and its quantification. Climate Dynamics, 43, 5-6, 1159-1169 [pdf]

Sharmila S., P. A. Pillai, S. Joseph, M. Roxy, R. P. M. Krishna, R. Chattopadhyay, S. Abhilash, A. K. Sahai and B. N. Goswami, 2013: Role of ocean-atmosphere interaction on northward propagation of Indian summer monsoon intraseasonal oscillations. Climate Dynamics, 41, 1651–1669 [pdf]

Valsala V., Y. K. Tiwari, P. Pillai, M. Roxy, S. Maksyutov and R. Murtugudde, 2013: Intraseasonal variability of terrestrial biospheric CO₂ fluxes over India during summer monsoons. JGR – Biogeosciences, 118, 2, 752–769 [pdf]

Roxy M., N. Patil, K. Aparna and K. Ashok, 2013: Revisiting the Indian summer monsoon-ENSO links in the IPCC AR4 projections: A cautionary outlook. Global & Planetary Change, 104, 51-60 [pdf]

Sahai A. K., S. Sharmila, S. Abhilash, R. Chattopadhyay, N. Borah, R. P. M. Krishna, S. Joseph, M. Roxy, S. De, S. Pattnaik and P. A. Pillai, 2013: Simulation and extended range prediction of monsoon intraseasonal oscillations in NCEP CFS/GFS version 2 framework. Current Science, 104 (10), 1394-1408 [pdf]

Roxy M., Y. Tanimoto, B. Preethi, P. Terray and R. Krishnan, 2012: Intraseasonal SST-precipitation relationship and its spatial variability over the tropical summer monsoon region. Climate Dynamics, 41 (1), 45-61 [pdf]

Samala B. K., R. Krishnan and M. Roxy, 2012: Assessment of 1 month forecasts of weak Indian monsoons based on the NCEP Climate Forecast System (CFS). Meteorological Applications, 19 (2), 189-199 [pdf]

Roxy M. and Y. Tanimoto, 2011: Influence of sea surface temperature on the intraseasonal variability of the South China Sea summer monsoon. Climate Dynamics, 39 (5), 1209-1218 [pdf]

Roxy M., S. Gualdi, H-K L. Drbohlav and A. Navarra, 2010: Seasonality in the relationship between El Nino and Indian Ocean Dipole. Climate Dynamics, 37 (1), 221-236 [pdf]

Roxy M., S. Gualdi and E. Scoccimarro, 2010: The influence of the Indian Ocean Dipole on the Eastern Mediterranean climate variability, as simulated by a coupled general circulation model. Under Revision.

Roxy M. and Y. Tanimoto, 2007: Role of SST over the Indian Ocean in influencing the intraseasonal variability of the Indian summer monsoon. J. Met. Soc. Japan, 85(3), 349-358 [pdf]

S.S.C. Shenoi, M. Roxy, and co-authors, 2005: Hydrography and water masses in the southeastern Arabian Sea during March-June 2003, Journal of Earth System Science, 114(5), 475-491 [pdf]

Roxy M. and S. R. Shetye, 2003: Evolution of thermocline off Kochi: a test of the role of local wind-forcing in driving of the coastal circulation. Proc. ARMEX Workshop on Data Analysis and Initial Scientific Results. NIOT, India.

S.S.C. Shenoi, M. Roxy, and co-authors, 2003: Temperature-salinity structure in the southeastern Arabian Sea during ARMEX Phase II. Proc. ARMEX Workshop on Data Analysis and Initial Scientific Results. NIOT, India.