Events and Highlights 2020

On BBC World News
BBC World News discussion on Cyclone Nisarga and Compound Effects over India, 3 June 2020

IndOOS Review
IndOOS Review published in the Bulletin of American Meteorological SocietyIndian Ocean Review Beal Roxy Jerome

Beal, L. M., J. Vialard, M. K. Roxy and Coauthors, 2020, A roadmap to IndOOS-2: Better observations of the rapidly-warming Indian Ocean. Bull. Amer. Meteor. Soc., doi: 10.1175/BAMS-D-19-0209.1 [pdf].

Monsoon Review
Global Monsoon Review published in the Bulletin of American Meteorological SocietyGlobal Monsoon Climate Change Assessment Bin Wang

Ref: Wang, B., M. Biasutti, M.P. Byrne, C. Castro, C. Chang, K. Cook, R. Fu, A.M. Grimm, K. Ha, H. Hendon, A. Kitoh, R. Krishnan, J. Lee, J. Li, J. Liu, A. Moise, S. Pascale, M.K. Roxy, A. Seth, C. Sui, A. Turner, S. Yang, K. Yun, L. Zhang, and T. Zhou, 2020, Monsoons Climate Change Assessment. Bull. Amer. Meteor. Soc., doi: 10.1175/BAMS-D-19-0335.1 [pdf].

Western Ghats—The Wounded Hills
In a first-time documentary from The Hindu, we show how human actions—both at global and local levels—cause heavy rains, floods, and landslides, and are bringing the hills down.

Warm Pool expansion changes MJO and global rainfall patterns
Indo-Pacific warm pool expansion

The Indo-Pacific warm pool hosts Earth’s “largest expanse of the warmest ocean temperatures” and the highest rainfall. Are the warm pool characteristics changing? Does it have an impact on the global climate? Read our study published in Nature for more details. For an easy read, we have prepared an illustrated summary on how warm pool expansion is changing global weather patterns.

Roxy M. K., Panini Dasgupta, Michael J. McPhaden, Tamaki Suematsu, Chidong Zhang and Daehyun Kim, 2019, Twofold expansion of the Indo-Pacific warm pool warps the MJO lifecycle, Nature, 575, 647–651. doi: 10.1038/s41586-019-1764-4.

Times of India highlights IPCC and IORP findings on sea level rise
Times of India news interview with Roxy Mathew Koll on sea level rise over MumbaiInterview by Viashnavi Chandrashekhar in Times of India, regarding IPCC findings on sea level rise, and on IORP recommendations for addressing observational gaps.

Recent estimates—that is during the last decade—shows that the sea level rise along the Indian coast is about 3-6 cm per decade. That is about half a meter rise for 2000–2050 and a 1-meter rise for 2100. There are regions in Mumbai, and other cities (probably), which are already below or near sea level. They may not be bang on the coast, but without adequate protection, seawater inflow and extreme rains can submerge them for long periods.

The impact is more when multiple extremes act together—these are called “compound events”. For example, when you have heavy rainfall events over increased sea level, the impact of floods would be much higher. This is applicable to cities like Kochi and Kolkata also. Remember the 2018 Kerala floods? The heavy rains happened along with a high tide, so the flood water did not flow out into the sea as fast as usual. The scenario with sea level rise is similar.

Climate Research Lab, 2020
Roxy Koll Climate Research Lab 2020-2021