Ansuree Ashok

Anusree Ashok
Anusree Ashok

MSc Thesis [2020 – 2021]: Future Projections of the Indian Ocean Temperatures Under Global Warming

Affiliation: Department of Physical Oceanography, Cochin University of Science &Technology

Quick Summary of M.Sc. Thesis

In her M.Sc. thesis, Anusree evaluated the future projections of the Indian Ocean SSTs using CMIP6. CMIP6 projection from 2020 until the end of the 21st century is examined and compared with the changes to historical simulations and observed SSTs. It is found that there is very likely warming of 1°C in SSP1-2.6, 1-2°C in SSP2-4.5, and greater than 2.5°C in SSP5-8.5 emission scenarios by the end of the 21st century. In the higher emission scenarios, basin-wide warming emerges as the dominant mode of variability, with an enhanced trend over the northwestern part and a subdued trend over the southeastern Indian Ocean. The frequency of positive IOD events is also projected to increase to one in every 5.67 years by the end of the 21st century.